EventCap
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Lifetime Pro · 99 USDC once
EVENT INTELLIGENCEDECISION INFRASTRUCTURE

The intelligence layerbetween event-market dataand decisions.

EventCap transforms fragmented market evidence into a verified event graph, resolution intelligence, executable pricing and decision-ready context — for traders, research desks, applications and AI agents.

Universal Event GraphResolution IntelligenceExecutable Pricing
Unlock Lifetime Pro 99 USDC once Explore live markets free
Verified event relationships Official evidence + freshness Read-only by design
99 USDC oncePermanent Pro access · No recurring subscription
Live market snapshotPolymarket + Kalshi
Connecting
Cross-marketChecking verified same-contract pairsVerified comparison context appears only when contract and settlement terms match.
↗
Loading official market data…Each venue is shown independently until a verified pair exists.
SnapshotWaiting
TimezoneUTC
Polymarket · contract evidenceLoading the Polymarket leg of the strict pair.
YES bid —YES ask —
Last trade —24h volume —24h move —
Official history pendingOfficial history pending
Source quote —Observed —Source age —History confidence pending
Kalshi · contract evidenceLoading the Kalshi leg of the strict pair.
YES bid —YES ask —
Last trade —24h contracts —24h move —
Official history pendingOfficial history pending
Source quote —Observed —Source age —History confidence pending
Page refresh 5sSnapshot WaitingOfficial sources only · no synthetic values
PM × Kalshi verified researchOpen cross-market workspace →

Event identity → resolution evidence → executable pricing → decision context.

Official evidenceFail-closed verificationExecution-awareAPI-readyNo trade writes
Trader workflow

Free shows the market.
Pro interrogates the decision.

Unlock risk, momentum, execution quality, certified PM × Kalshi research, portfolio intelligence, alerts, exports and scoped Developer API access.

01Find what deserves attention 02Reject weak or stale setups 03Verify execution and rules
Unlock Lifetime Pro · 99 USDC once →
From product to infrastructure

One evidence layer.
Multiple decision surfaces.

The same verified market evidence powers the trader workspace, Developer API, institutional event discovery and machine-readable agent briefs.

01TradersRisk · activity · execution · portfolio
02Research desksEvent exposure · rule evidence · monitoring
03ApplicationsScoped read APIs · stable schemas · allowlists
04AI agentsRead · analyze · rank · recommend
Explore the infrastructure →
Trader decision layer

Discover the market.
Interrogate the evidence.
Decide with execution context.

Lifetime Pro turns the infrastructure into a human decision workspace: Loss Guard, Market Activity Radar, Momentum, execution triage, certified PM × Kalshi research, portfolio intelligence, alerts and exports.

01

Protect the downside before sizing

Loss Guard combines spread, liquidity, concentration, close-time and public-position context so weak entries can be rejected earlier.

02

Detect momentum that deserves review

Market Activity Radar and Momentum prioritize fast probability moves, volume acceleration and large observed flow instead of forcing you to scan raw feeds.

03

Turn evidence into a decision brief

Execution Quality Triage, rule evidence, track-record context and explicit unavailable states keep Watch, Review and Avoid decisions evidence-bound.

PM × Kalshi verification

Compare equivalent contracts.
Keep rule differences visible.

Supporting research checks event, outcome, line, timing and settlement terms before a cross-market comparison is shown. Executable edge additionally requires fresh synchronized books, fees, spread and slippage.

Open PM × Kalshi workspaceReview verification evidence →
01
Contract identityEvent · outcome · line · timing
VERIFY
02
Settlement equivalenceRule differences stay visible
REVIEW
03
Quote synchronizationFreshness gate across both venues
≤5s
04
Two-book executionSpread · depth · fees · slippage
WALK
05
Executable edgeShown only when every gate passes
PASS ALL GATES
Official source IDsRule differences visibleFreshness checkedFees & slippage modeled
Event Intelligence Infrastructure

Five machine-readable layers.
One verified evidence system.

Built on the same read-only market, rule and execution evidence used inside EventCap. Every layer keeps uncertainty, missing evidence and verification boundaries explicit.

01 · CORE GRAPH/api/v1/event-graph

Universal Event Graph

Organizes venue-specific contracts around stable EventCap event identities. Human-verified relationships can connect equivalent contracts; unmatched markets remain standalone.

Canonical event IDsVenue rolesSource freshnessVerified edges only
02 · RULE LAYER/api/v1/resolution-intelligence

Resolution Intelligence

Returns settlement clauses, rule differences, certification state, missing evidence and rule-change risk. Ambiguity blocks certification instead of being guessed away.

FAIL CLOSEDMissing clauses stay missing.
03 · EXECUTION LAYER/api/v1/executable-pricing

Executable Pricing

Moves beyond last price into spread, depth, fees, slippage, fillable size and synchronized quote evidence before net execution claims are surfaced.

EVIDENCE GATEDNo complete inputs, no manufactured edge.
04 · EXPOSURE LAYER/api/v1/institutional-risk

Institutional Exposure Discovery

Maps explicit business exposure terms to relevant event-market indicators for monitoring and research. Relevance is not corporate loss severity, and market probability is not a company loss forecast.

RELEVANCE ONLYYour exposure model stays yours.
05 · AGENT LAYER/api/v1/agent-brief

Agent Decision Brief

Packages event identity, resolution evidence, pricing context and decision signals into a structured brief that software agents can read, analyze, rank and recommend for human review.

NO TRADE WRITE ROUTERead · analyze · recommend only.
Developer API

Build on the decision layer.

Lifetime Pro includes account-owned scoped API keys, usage controls and IP allowlist contracts for server-to-server access.

GET/api/v1/agent-brief?conditionId=…Authorization: Bearer ec_live_…
Read API docs →
Why the infrastructure matters

Market data tells you the quote.
Event intelligence explains the decision boundary.

EventCap connects identity, rules, freshness, risk and execution evidence before a cross-market or machine-readable conclusion is allowed to look certain.

Decision criterionEventCapTypical analytics tools
Loss protectionSpread, liquidity, concentration and close-time risk in one viewUsually left to the user
Early-move detection5m, 15m and 1h moves ranked with volume accelerationPrice lists without decision context
Large observed flowRetained large trades and recent notional activity in the same workflowSeparate feeds to reconcile manually
Execution qualityBid/ask, depth, fees and slippage before size-based conclusionsHeadline probability first
Decision supportWatch / Review / Avoid with source-backed reasons and explicit unavailable statesRaw data left to the user
Cross-market matchingCross-market context only after contract and settlement verificationOften requires separate manual review
Machine-readable intelligenceEvent graph, resolution, pricing, exposure discovery and agent briefs through scoped APIsVaries by product and integration
Pricing$99 one-time · Lifetime ProNo recurring subscriptionRecurring monthly or annual fees
EventCap advantage One evidence system for market discovery, risk, execution, verified cross-market research and machine-readable event intelligence.

Pay once. Keep access permanently. No recurring subscription.

EventCap does not replace exchanges or promise returns. It gives you cleaner evidence before you decide.

TRADER

Validate a cross-market setup

Start with a price gap, verify contract identity and settlement rules, then evaluate synchronized books, fees, spread, depth and slippage before sizing.

PM × KalshiVerified research → executable context
RISK / RESEARCH

Discover event exposure

Map explicit subjects such as tariffs, elections, energy, regulation or macro policy to relevant event-market indicators while keeping relevance separate from loss forecasting.

Institutional discoveryResearch signal, not corporate loss probability
DEVELOPER

Embed event intelligence

Use scoped read APIs to pull canonical event identity, resolution evidence, execution-aware pricing and decision packets into research tools or internal applications.

Server-to-serverAPI keys · scopes · usage · IP allowlists
AI AGENT

Give agents a safer evidence contract

Agents can read, analyze, rank and recommend structured briefs while EventCap keeps the order-writing boundary closed.

Human review boundarytradeWriteRouteExposed = false
Free discovery · Lifetime Pro intelligence

Browse markets free.
Unlock the full workflow once.

Free covers market discovery. Lifetime Pro unlocks the complete trader decision layer plus scoped Developer API access to EventCap intelligence infrastructure.

Loss GuardAvoid weak entries
Market Activity RadarCatch meaningful moves
Execution Quality TriageAction vs. non-action
Decision BriefReview only what matters
Developer APIEvent graph → Agent Brief
Free$0
Explore

Browse active markets and understand current probability. Free covers active-market discovery and core market context.

  • Active market discovery
  • Current probability
  • Basic 24-hour chart
  • 10 watchlist items and 3 alerts
  • No API or data downloads
Explore markets free
Lifetime Pro99 USDC

Pay once for the complete decision workflow — no monthly or annual renewal.

  • Loss Guard for public-position, concentration and exit risk
  • Market Activity Radar for fast probability moves and volume acceleration
  • Execution Quality Triage for actionable vs. non-actionable setups
  • Certified PM × Kalshi research when exact rule-equivalent pairs exist
  • Decision Brief, track-record context and unified read-only portfolio intelligence
  • Scoped Developer API: Event Graph, Resolution, Executable Pricing, Institutional Risk and Agent Brief
  • Alerts, CSV package and six-sheet Excel workbook
Get Lifetime Pro → 99 USDC once · No renewal · Permanent Pro access
From market discovery to verified decision infrastructure in one product. 99 USDC once · permanent Pro access · no renewal.
FAQ · Prediction markets in 60 seconds

Understand the market.
Know exactly what Pro changes.

Start with the basics, then see why price alone is not enough for a decision.

Prediction markets in 60 seconds

A market turns a real-world question into a priced YES / NO contract.

A 63¢ YES price means the market is trading YES at $0.63. People often read that as roughly 63% market-implied probability, but it is still a market price — not a guarantee.

01QuestionWill event X happen?
02Market priceYES = 63¢
03ResolutionYES settles at $1, NO at $0

The settlement rule decides the outcome. EventCap organizes the evidence around that decision; it does not guarantee the result.

01
Start hereThe concepts a first-time user should understand
What exactly is EventCap?

EventCap is read-only prediction-market intelligence. It brings official market data, risk, activity, execution context and verified cross-market research into one workflow so you spend less time reconciling separate screens and more time reviewing the evidence behind a decision.

What does a prediction-market price such as 63¢ actually mean?

It means a YES contract is currently priced at $0.63. That price is commonly interpreted as roughly 63% market-implied probability, but it can move and it is not a forecast guarantee. The contract's settlement rule still determines whether YES ultimately pays $1 or $0.

Why look at both Polymarket and Kalshi?

Two venues can reflect different participants, liquidity, order books and contract wording. Seeing both can reveal disagreement or execution differences, but EventCap only treats a cross-market comparison as decision-grade when the underlying contracts and settlement terms are actually equivalent.

Does EventCap place trades, hold funds or control my account?

No. EventCap is a read-only research product. It does not expose order, cancellation, withdrawal or transfer actions. You remain responsible for any action you choose to take on an external venue.

What changed with Event Intelligence Infrastructure?

EventCap now exposes the same verified evidence model through five read-only infrastructure APIs: Universal Event Graph, Resolution Intelligence, Executable Pricing, Institutional Exposure Discovery and Agent Decision Brief. This expands EventCap from a trader workspace into an intelligence layer that applications, research teams and AI agents can consume.

Can an AI agent automatically trade through EventCap?

No. The Agent Decision Brief is read/analyze/recommend only. This release deliberately exposes no automatic trade-write route; execution remains a separate external boundary.

02
Why Lifetime Pro?What changes when you move beyond simply watching prices
What is the real difference between Free and Lifetime Pro?

Free tells you what the market is showing. Lifetime Pro adds the decision layer: deeper risk, market activity, execution quality, alerts, portfolio context, exports and verified PM × Kalshi research. Pro is most useful when your question changes from “what is the price?” to “is this setup actually worth investigating?”

If Polymarket and Kalshi prices differ, is that automatically profit?

No. A headline gap can disappear after contract-rule differences, bid/ask spread, fees, available depth, slippage or stale quotes are considered. EventCap intentionally separates raw disagreement from an executable opportunity instead of presenting every price gap as money you can capture.

What makes an opportunity “executable” in EventCap?

The pair must be verified as the same contract outcome, both sides need sufficiently current market data, and the calculation must account for spread, available size, fees and slippage. If required evidence is missing, EventCap keeps the state unavailable rather than manufacturing an execution signal.

Couldn't I do all of this manually?

Yes. The value of Pro is not that the underlying information is impossible to find. It is that repeatedly checking market identity, rules, freshness, risk, spread, depth, fees and cross-market context across many markets takes time. EventCap compresses that repetitive research into one consistent workflow.

When Pro starts to matterYou already know the price. Now you want to know whether the evidence supports acting on it.

Unlock the full decision workflow once — no monthly or annual renewal.

Unlock Lifetime Pro · 99 USDC once →
03
Before you buyData, verification, limits and purchase terms
Where does EventCap market data come from?

Supported prices, order books, trades, market history and rules are sourced from official Polymarket and Kalshi interfaces used by EventCap. Runtime synthetic market data is not substituted when official evidence is unavailable.

How are Polymarket and Kalshi markets verified as the same market?

Automated discovery can propose candidates, but a decision-grade comparison requires the event, outcome, threshold or line, timing and settlement terms to align for that specific pair. Rule differences remain visible instead of being silently treated as equivalent.

What happens when data is stale, sparse or incomplete?

EventCap keeps the limitation visible. Stale quotes remain labeled, sparse official history does not become a synthetic chart, and missing execution inputs do not become a confident recommendation. A trustworthy “unavailable” state is more useful than false precision.

Does EventCap guarantee profitable trades or accurate outcomes?

No. EventCap is research software, not a profit guarantee, exchange, broker or financial adviser. Markets can move, liquidity can disappear and outcomes can resolve unexpectedly. Pro is designed to improve the quality and speed of your research, not remove risk.

What does “Lifetime Pro · 99 USDC once” mean?

It is a one-time Pro purchase with no monthly or annual renewal. Under EventCap's Terms, Lifetime Pro means continued access to the Pro feature set for as long as EventCap operates that service, subject to product evolution, security requirements and applicable law.

Not sure yet?Use Free first. When you need risk, execution and verified cross-market context instead of price alone, Lifetime Pro is the upgrade.Explore live markets free →
One event intelligence layer

See the market.
Understand the evidence.
Build on the decision.

Browse live markets free with no account cap. Upgrade once for the complete trader workflow and scoped access to EventCap's read-only intelligence infrastructure.

Unlock Lifetime Pro · 99 USDC once → Explore live markets free
Lifetime Pro99 USDC once · Unlock →